Showing posts with label wild and scenic film festival. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wild and scenic film festival. Show all posts

Friday, March 12, 2010

The Local's Take: Mid-Day Update

Good Morning Traders and Investors,

Well, we officially have a higher close in the SPY as of yesterday, so the higher high, higher low scenario continues. What does that mean? An uptrend, of course!!!

BUT, true chartists will be looking at the close in the SPY over the next few sessions. What happens if we barely violate the old high and then close below that level? The adage of old resistance becoming new support wouldn't hold.

Let's take a look at the chart:
Next, we have our trend following trade. SPY up, oil demand up, oil prices up, therefore, alternative energy stocks up. Remember in the beginning of March when we sold the 100 AND 95 strik naked PUTS on First Solar - FSLR. Well here is how the stock has performed in the past 2 weeks:

To wrap up the week, we had better than expected retail sales, but does news matter? It seems the stock market goes up to sideways no matter what. What will get it to go higher? What will get it to turn around and head lower?

Forex market update: D-E-A-D, A-G-A-I-N-!-! Keeping the powder dry for next week, or the next, or the next...

Did I get out for a run yesterday? No. But I did get 30 minutes of yoga in - keeping the back and hamstrings loose as I skied hard on a mountain tour Wednesday afternoon and looks like we may get a little snow for tomorrow's day on the mountain. Deer Valley should be nice over the next few days as crowds will be solid, but spread out ove 21 lifts and amazing, wide boulevards to ski the soft corduroy.

Today, I will get out for a run before heading off for Local's meetings (final Tucson, AZ prep) and clients in the afternoon.

Have a fantastic weekend and Be Environmentally Cool with Locals Have More Fun and attending the final evening of the Wild and Scenic Film Festival at TMI.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

The Local's Take: Y-A-W-N: Mid-Day Update

Good Morning Traders and Investors,

B-O-R-I-N-G Part II.

Investors say yay! Stocks are staying near highs and your dividends are being reinvested - more buyers than sellers should create upward pressure and if we break 1150 on SPX, look out above!

Traders say, boring!! The Vix in the teens means no volatility, meaning not many trading opportunities. One a day, if that. So you better be right and take small losses if wrong because you don't get a second chance to make the losing trade back.

Two charts for you:

SPX - a 6 month chart

VIX - our "fear" gauge on a yearly chart

As they mentioned on Fast Money, it is SUPER cheap to buy protection on your portfolio with options either on stocks or ETF's or even the indexes themselves.

FOREX - I am not even going to mention the forex markets!! D-E-A-D on an intraday trading horizon during the US equity session.

Have a great day - I am off for a 5 miler in the Hidden Cove area. Great views of the southern exposed Jeremy Ranch area - mountain biking can't be far away with these temps. Or will we get another April storm when most of us are ready for spring???

Be Environmentally Cool with Locals Have More Fun apparel and even cooler by attending the Wild and Scenic Film Festival over the next 2 nights.